Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Werder Bremen		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.75	Watch
	3.90	4.20	1.77
	4.25	4.05	1.72	Watch
	4.27	4.45	1.79
	3.96	4.09	1.82	Watch
	4.15	4.2	1.74
	4.35	4.35	1.8	Watch
	4.1	4.3	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.17)	4.23 ↑ (4.06)	1.77 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
23.2%

Draw
22.7%

RB Leipzig
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

23.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.9%	7.8%	88.3%

Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (68 of 77 users predict this - 88.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.13% – 95.49%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hein K. (G) 13. Arthur 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 15. Reis L. 44. Regeer Y. 18. Dinkci E. 20. Chuki 17. Grull M. 10. Fullkrug N.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 3. Esteve M. 22. Raum D. (C) 21. El Aynaoui N. 13. Seiwald N. 6. Banzuzi E. 11. Bakayoko J. 28. Nkunku C. 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
38. Erevbenagie P. 26. Itten C. 29. Musah S. 16. N'Diaye M. 30. Schlager A. (G) 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Stalmach D. 4. Stark N. 3. Wojcik O.	35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 9. Guiu M. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 45. Konate S. 2. Kone A. 30. Maksimovic A. 1. Nyland O. (G)
Coaches
Thioune D.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Dinkci E. ⚽, Chuki (A),
23', Chuki 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
63', Bakayoko J. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
67', Arthur ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,
67', Dinkci E. ↓, Erevbenagie P. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Fullkrug N. ⚽, Grull M. (A),
74', Fullkrug N. ↓, Itten C. ↑,
75', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Grull M. ⚽,
83', Chuki ↓, Musah S. ↑,
83', Regeer Y. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
84', Nkunku C. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
84', Nusa A. ↓, Konate S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Baku R. ⚽, Maksimovic A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 0.

Werder has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, RB Leipzig is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Calf Injury) Njinmah J. (Thigh Injury) Stage J. (Muscle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Reitz R. (Muscle Injury) Romulo Cardoso (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gruda B. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.84% Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Werder Bremen - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
30.08.26	Freiburg - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Lüneburger Hansa - Werder Bremen	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Werder Bremen	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Werder Bremen - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
29.08.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Eintracht Trier - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	RB Leipzig - Verl	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	RB Leipzig - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.04.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0
10.05.25	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	0:0
12.01.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	4:2
11.05.24	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	1:1
19.12.23	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:1
14.05.23	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:1

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