Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
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Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	RB Leipzig		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.50	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.60	5.00
	1.53	4.30	5.40	Watch
	1.59	4.60	5.60
	1.59	4.38	5.29	Watch
	1.57	4.49	5.52
	1.59	4.62	5.39	Watch
	1.59	4.70	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)	4.52 ↑ (4.42)	5.36 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
60.9%

Draw
21.2%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.8%	10.5%	2.6%

RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Borussia M (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (33 of 38 users predict this - 86.84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.09% – 97.59%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Borussia M (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 20. Reitz R. 13. Seiwald N. 6. Banzuzi E. 10. Gruda B. 27. Gomis T. 7. Nusa A.	1. Nicolas M. (G) 14. Hashioka D. 6. Itakura K. 4. Diks K. (C) 26. Ullrich L. 16. Sander P. 7. Stoger K. 36. Mohya W. 38. Bolin H. 25. Hack R. 11. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
11. Bakayoko J. 3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 9. Harder C. 39. Henrichs B. 30. Maksimovic A. 28. Nkunku C. 48. Vermeeren A. 25. Zingerle L. (G)	33. Batz D. (G) 20. Herold D. 9. Honorat F. 8. Leopold E. 5. Leszczynski J. 3. Lidberg I. 18. Machino S. 34. Nguefack M. 29. Scally J.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Polanski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Baku R. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Nusa A. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
64', Hack R. ↓, Lidberg I. ↑,
64', Stoger K. ↓, Honorat F. ↑,
64', Ullrich L. ↓, Nguefack M. ↑,
65', Gomis T. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Reitz R. ⚽, Nkunku C. (A),
72', Nusa A. 🟨,
73', Gruda B. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
73', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
75', Kleindienst T. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
83', Reitz R. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
83', Banzuzi E. ↓, Harder C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.

Borussia M is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Borussia M has had a series of away games.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Nyland O. (Foot Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury) Romulo Cardoso (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Castrop J. (Shoulder Injury) Chiarodia F. C. (Muscle Injury) Cvancara T. (Groin Injury) Konoplya Y. (Knee Injury) Uno Z. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.84% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9:5	4	6
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Eintracht Trier - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	RB Leipzig - Verl	4:0 ✺
25.07.26	RB Leipzig - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Schott Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Velbert - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:8 ✺
01.08.26	Hansa Rostock - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
11.04.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0
28.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:0
29.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	1:0
09.11.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
17.02.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
23.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:1
11.03.23	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0

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