Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 26

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)


	West Bromwich Albion		Reading

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	6
	1.58	3.9	6
	1.58	3.95	6.4
	1.56	3.85	5.8
	1.6	3.95	6.56
	1.57	3.7	6
	1.59	4	5.85	Watch
	1.6	3.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	3.91 ↑ (3.79)	6.08 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
60%

Draw
24.3%

Reading
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

23.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	11.4%	14.3%

West Bromwich Albion - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 52 - 74.3%). Reading will win (votes: 10 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 64.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 10).

West Bromwich has the most likely position - 4 (9.7%), has project points - 69, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reading has the most likely position - 13 (7.1%), has project points - 63, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 46, small importance 23, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 4.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Reading could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match West Bromwich is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's West Bromwich to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 10 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams West Bromwich won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
29.12.22	West Bromwich Albion - Preston North End	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	0:2 ✺
21.12.22	Coventry City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	West Bromwich Albion - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
12.12.22	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Reading
English League Championship
30.12.22	Norwich City - Reading	1:1 ✺
27.12.22	Reading - Swansea City	2:1 ✺
16.12.22	Birmingham City - Reading	3:2 ✺
10.12.22	Reading - Coventry City	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Hull City - Reading	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.10.22	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:2
30.04.22	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:1
11.12.21	West Bromwich Albion - Reading	1:0
12.02.20	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	1:2
21.08.19	West Bromwich Albion - Reading	1:1
22.04.19	Reading - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
06.10.18	West Bromwich Albion - Reading	4:1

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