Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 22

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)


	Reading		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.88
	2.55	3.2	2.8
	2.75	3.15	2.8
	2.5	3.15	2.8
	2.66	3.31	2.87
	2.6	3.1	2.75
	2.58	3.3	2.78	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)	3.21 ↓ (3.23)	2.82 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
36.6%

Draw
29.6%

Coventry City
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	36.1%	36.1%

Reading - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%). Coventry will win (votes: 13 - 36.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 20.4% – 51.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

Reading has the most likely position - 17 (6.46%), has project points - 59, has currently - 29, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Coventry has the most likely position - 7 (6.27%), has project points - 67, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 23, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Reading is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coventry is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Reading have a series of guest games.

Recently Coventry have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Championship
12.11.22	Hull City - Reading	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Watford - Reading	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Reading - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
01.11.22	Luton Town - Reading	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Burnley - Reading	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLTL
- Coventry City
English League Championship
12.11.22	Coventry City - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Coventry City - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Watford - Coventry City	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Coventry City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Coventry City - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
12.02.22	Reading - Coventry City	2:3
21.08.21	Coventry City - Reading	2:1
19.01.21	Reading - Coventry City	3:0
30.10.20	Coventry City - Reading	3:2
11.02.12	Reading - Coventry City	2:0

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