Match Info

Championship - Round 40

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports 1, Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	West Bromwich Albion		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.87
	2.23	3.36	3.26	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.21	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.31	3.39	3.29	Watch
	2.23	3.36	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.47)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	3.14 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Bromwich Albion
41%

Draw
28.7%

Sunderland
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	38.1%	9.5%

West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Sunderland will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 31% – 73.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - West Bromwich (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - West Bromwich (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): West Bromwich Albion will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wildsmith J. (G) 2. Furlong D. 5. Bartley K. (C) 14. Heggem T. 4. Styles C. 11. Diangana G. 8. Molumby J. 27. Mowatt A. 22. Johnston M. 32. Armstrong A. 18. Grant K.	1. Patterson A. (G) 8. Browne A. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 32. Hume T. 4. Neil D. (C) 10. Roberts P. 11. Rigg C. 7. Bellingham J. 14. Mundle R. 18. Isidor W.
Substitutes
26. Bany T. 44. Cole D. 17. Diakite O. 12. Dike D. 31. Fellows T. 24. Frabotta G. 20. Griffiths J. (G) 19. Lankshear W. 10. Swift J.	30. Aleksic M. 45. Anderson J. 33. Hjelde L. F. 50. Jones H. 49. Lavery T. 28. Le Fee E. 12. Mayenda E. 21. Moore S. (G) 40. Watson T.
Coaches
Mowbray T.	Le Bris R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Mundle R. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Hume T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Browne A. 🟨,
60', Roberts P. 🟨,
62', Mayenda E. 🟨,
62', Mowatt A. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
62', Diangana G. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
65', Molumby J. 🟨,
70', Johnston M. ↓, Bany T. ↑,
71', Browne A. ↓, Hjelde L. F. ↑,
71', Roberts P. ↓, Le Fee E. ↑,
79', Armstrong A. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
79', Heggem T. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
88', Styles C. 🟨,
90+1', Isidor W. ↓, Aleksic M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 1.

Recent matches West Bromwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunderland is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in West Bromwich: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Maja J. (Calf Injury) Wallace J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Calf Injury) Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Leg Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Le Fee E. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:14 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams West Bromwich won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Bromwich Albion
English League Championship
29.03.25	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	West Bromwich Albion - Hull City	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Burnley - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	West Bromwich Albion - Queens Park Rangers	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Leeds United - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWT
- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
29.03.25	Sunderland - Millwall	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sunderland - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.11.24	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	0:0
13.04.24	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	0:1
09.12.23	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	2:1
23.04.23	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	1:2
12.12.22	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	1:2
English Premier League
21.01.17	West Bromwich Albion - Sunderland	2:0
01.10.16	Sunderland - West Bromwich Albion	1:1

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