Match Info

Championship - Round 39

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Sunderland		Millwall

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.71	5.44	Watch
	1.7	3.74	5.65
	1.66	3.66	5.73	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.5
	1.74	3.81	5.19	Watch
	1.67	3.71	5.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.67)	3.67 ↓ (3.71)	5.46 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sunderland
56.5%

Draw
26%

Millwall
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.6%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	5.9%	47.1%

Sunderland - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Millwall will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 8. Browne A. 10. Roberts P. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 14. Mundle R. 11. Rigg C. 18. Isidor W.	1. Jensen L. (G) 52. Crama T. 6. Tanganga J. 5. Cooper J. (C) 15. Bryan J. 25. Cundle L. 24. De Norre C. 8. Mitchell B. 22. Emakhu A. 9. Connolly A. 21. Coburn J.
Substitutes
30. Aleksic M. 45. Anderson J. 51. Bainbridge O. 50. Jones H. 49. Lavery T. 12. Mayenda E. 55. Middlemas B. 21. Moore S. (G) 40. Watson T.	41. Evans G. (G) 45. Harding W. 26. Ivanovic M. 51. Kendall S. 17. Langstaff M. 18. Leonard R. 54. Matthews A. 23. Saville G. 58. Sturge Z.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Bellingham J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Hume T. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
26', Mepham C. 🟨,
36', Emakhu A. 🟨,
44', Connolly A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Emakhu A. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
69', Isidor W. 🟨,
73', De Norre C. 🟨,
79', Cundle L. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
80', Crama T. ↓, Leonard R. ↑,
80', De Norre C. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
87', O'Nien L. (Pen),
88', Mundle R. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
88', Isidor W. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
90+4', Connolly A. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
90+4', Watson T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sunderland is a favorite.

There will not play in Sunderland: Abdul Samed S. (Calf Injury) Alese A. (Broken Leg) Ballard D. (Hamstring Injury) Cirkin D. (Hamstring Injury) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Groin Injury) Le Fee E. (Hamstring Injury) Poveda I. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Honeyman G. (Hamstring Injury) Leonard R. (Muscle Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Roberts L. (Red Card) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sunderland: Hjelde L. F. (Knock)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sunderland AFC
English League Championship
15.03.25	Coventry City - Sunderland	3:0 ✺
11.03.25	Sunderland - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sunderland - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sunderland - Hull City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWL
- Millwall
English League Championship
15.03.25	Millwall - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Leeds United - Millwall	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Watford - Millwall	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Millwall - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Crystal Palace - Millwall	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
23.11.24	Millwall - Sunderland	1:1
20.04.24	Sunderland - Millwall	0:1
02.12.23	Millwall - Sunderland	1:1
04.02.23	Millwall - Sunderland	1:1
03.12.22	Sunderland - Millwall	3:0
03.03.18	Millwall - Sunderland	1:1
18.11.17	Sunderland - Millwall	2:2

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