Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	West Ham United		Lyon

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75
	1.98	3.5	3.75
	2	3.55	3.9
	1.98	3.4	3.85
	2.04	3.45	4.01
	2	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.7	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	3.51 ↓ (3.52)	3.81 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Ham United
47.8%

Draw
27.2%

Lyon
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.9%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Ham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	19.1%	11.3%

West Ham United - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 115 users predict this event. West Ham will win (votes: 80 - 69.6%). Lyon will win (votes: 13 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Ham: 61.2% – 78%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

West Ham was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (55%), has a chance of final (17%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Lyon was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (45%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

This event has big quality 73, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

West Ham will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Ham United
English Premier League
03.04.22	West Ham United - Everton	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	West Ham United - Sevilla	2:0 ET ✺
English Premier League
13.03.22	West Ham United - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Sevilla - West Ham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWL
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
03.04.22	Lyon - Angers	3:2 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
26.03.22	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Lyon	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.03.22	Reims - Lyon	0:0 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
19.03.22	Lyon - Lyon La Duchère	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Lyon - Porto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLTLT

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