Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tottenham Hotspur		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.9
	1.9	3.75	4.05
	1.85	3.87	4.32	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.91	3.87	4.02	Watch
	1.83	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.75 ↓ (3.99)	4.1 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
51.3%

Draw
25.4%

West Ham United
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.8%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

21.6%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	9.2%	9.2%

Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - West Ham (2.14) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tottenham Hotspur will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 24 - 82.8%). West Ham (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 33. Davies B. 14. Gray A. 22. Gallagher C. 28. Odobert W. 7. Simons X. 11. Tel M. 39. Kolo Muani R.	23. Areola A. (G) 29. Wan-Bissaka A. 15. Mavropanos K. 25. Todibo J. 30. Scarles O. 28. Soucek T. 18. Fernandes M. 20. Bowen J. (C) 19. Pablo 7. Summerville C. 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
15. Bergvall L. 8. Bissouma Y. 4. Danso K. 3. Dragusin R. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 44. Scarlett D. 19. Solanke D. 24. Spence D. 13. Udogie D.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 5. Igor 55. Kante M. 3. Kilman M. 63. Mayers E. 32. Potts F. 24. Rodriguez G. 2. Walker-Peters K. 9. Wilson C.
Coaches
Frank T.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Castellanos T. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Summerville C. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
19', Davies B. 🟨,
19', Davies B. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
39', Gray A. 🟨,
45+1', Romero C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gray A. ↓, Bissouma Y. ↑,
52', Bowen J. 🟨,
57', van de Ven M. 🟨,
62', Tel M. ↓, Solanke D. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Romero C. ⚽, Porro P. (A),
72', Soucek T. 🟨,
78', Spence D. 🟨,
79', Pablo ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
90', Odobert W. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
90+1', Castellanos T. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Wilson C. ⚽,
90+6', Fernandes M. ↓, Kilman M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 2.

Tottenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

West Ham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, West Ham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tottenham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bentancur R. (Muscle Injury) Kudus M. (Muscle Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Richarlison (Injury) Sarr P. M. (International duty)

There will not play in West Ham: Diouf M. (International duty) Fabianski L. (Back Injury) Mavropanos K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Bergvall L. (Injury)

There are questionable in West Ham: Lucas Paqueta (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Tottenham: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2:8	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTTW
- West Ham United
English FA Cup
11.01.26	West Ham United - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 ET ✺
English Premier League
06.01.26	West Ham United - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	West Ham United - Fulham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.09.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3
04.05.25	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
19.10.24	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	4:1
02.04.24	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
07.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	1:2
Club Friendly
18.07.23	West Ham United - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2
English Premier League
19.02.23	Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham United	2:0

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