Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Lyon		Porto

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.2	3.6	3.3
	2.15	3.5	3.25
	2.2	3.73	3.27
	2.15	3.5	3.2
	2.22	3.78	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
43.7%

Draw
26.4%

Porto
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

20.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	27.9%	45.6%

Lyon - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 18 - 26.5%). Porto will win (votes: 31 - 45.6%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 27.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 33.8% – 57.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Lyon was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (32%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Porto was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (31%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has big quality 76, very big importance 100, big match rating 88. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Lyon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lyon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lyon will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lyon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
13.03.22	Lyon - Rennes	2:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.03.22	Porto - Lyon	0:1 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
05.03.22	Lyon - Lyon La Duchère	2:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.03.22	Lorient - Lyon	1:4 ✺
27.02.22	Lyon - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
13.03.22	Porto - Tondela	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.03.22	Porto - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.03.22	Paços de Ferreira - Porto	2:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.03.22	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.02.22	Porto - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
09.03.22	Porto - Lyon	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Porto - Lyon	5:3
04.08.12	Porto - Lyon	0:0

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