Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Tusker		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	3.95	3	1.9
	4.02	3.1	1.87
	3.87	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4	2.8	1.91
	3.7	3.09	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (3.99)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
23.2%

Draw
30%

Gor Mahia
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

28.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

28.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tusker - Gor Mahia Predictions

Users Predictions: Gor Mahia will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Mwakasaba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 1.

Tusker has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gor Mahia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tusker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan FKF Cup
10.04.26	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
03.04.26	Police FC - Tusker	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	AFC Leopards - Tusker	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Tusker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
04.04.26	Gor Mahia - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Gor Mahia - Shabana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.11.25	Gor Mahia - Tusker	1:0
16.02.25	Gor Mahia - Tusker	0:0
19.01.25	Tusker - Gor Mahia	2:1
20.01.24	Gor Mahia - Tusker	1:0
22.10.23	Tusker - Gor Mahia	0:1
28.05.23	Tusker - Gor Mahia	0:0
08.02.23	Gor Mahia - Tusker	2:1

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