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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Jets 25.3%
Draw 25.7%
Canberra United 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
25.6%
43.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
25.5%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Jets's form might have worsened.
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Jets - Canberra United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Leat A. (G) 3. Cicco C. 4. Prior N. 15. Bates E. 7. Breier I. 10. Copus-Brown L. (C) 26. Allan J. 8. Dundas E. 18. Hoban S. 13. Allan L. 14. Ayres M.
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 28. Bertolissio T. 7. Hawkins E. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 11. Robers E. 33. Sasaki N. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
Substitutes
32. Adams C. 44. Brown K. 9. Johnson H. M. 5. Page O. 12. Ritchie G. (G) 2. Wilson J.
13. Christopherson S. 19. Dale S. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 10. Stanic-Floody M. 5. Wardlow J.
Coaches
Hoyle S.
Jagarinec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Bertolissio T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Cicco C. 🟨,
60', Hawkins E. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
70', Taylor-Young H. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
71', Aulicino J. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
77', Allan J. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
78', Ayres M. ↓, Brown K. ↑,
81', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Johnson H. M. ↑,
86', Bertolissio T. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Dale S. ⚽, Stanic-Floody M. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 2.
In recent matches, Newcastle Jets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Canberra United is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Canberra United has had a series of home games.
Canberra United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 1.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.7:2.1).
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Leat A. (G) 
Cicco C. 
Hawkins E. 
Sasaki N. 
Johnson H. M. 
Hoyle S. 
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