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Current Win Probability
Weston Workers Bears 41.8%
Draw 24.6%
Charlestown Azzurri 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
20%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
19.8%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Weston Workers Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weston Workers Bears's performance.
Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlestown Azzurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston Workers Bears than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weston Workers Bears that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlestown Azzurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Charlestown Azzurri will win
(31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Frendo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Weston Workers won 2.
Weston Workers is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Charlestown Azzurri is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Charlestown Azzurri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Charlestown Azzurri is a favorite.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Weston Workers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Weston Workers won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-13.
Watch
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