Match Info

National League South - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.65	5.5
	1.45	4.76	5.54
	1.43	4.94	6.04	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.4	4.45	6.22
	1.38	4.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)	4.69 ↑ (4.57)	5.94 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
64.9%

Draw
19.6%

Farnborough
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

19.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Worthing - Farnborough Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Farnborough (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Spong J. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Byron T. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
29', 4 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 5 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Worthing has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worthing is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gloucester City - Worthing	4:3 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Ebbsfleet United - Worthing	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Worthing - Hornchurch	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Torquay United - Worthing	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Slough Town - Worthing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Farnborough
English National League South
13.12.25	Farnborough - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Farnborough - Totton	4:2 ✺
29.11.25	Farnborough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Chippenham Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Enfield Town - Farnborough	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.08.25	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0
25.02.25	Worthing - Farnborough	1:2
26.11.24	Farnborough - Worthing	1:0
12.03.24	Worthing - Farnborough	2:3
21.11.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:3
18.04.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:1
08.10.22	Worthing - Farnborough	1:2

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