Match Info

Division 1 - Round 23

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Ferrycarrig Park (Wexford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	LOI TV


	Wexford		Kerry

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	1.88	3.40	3.55
	1.92	3.42	4.22
	2.02	3.18	3.62	Watch
	1.89	3.35	4.15
	1.92	3.36	3.98
	1.93	3.20	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.01)	3.29 ↑ (3.25)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wexford
47.9%

Draw
28%

Kerry
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wexford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kerry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Wexford - Kerry Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wexford will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moody A. (G) 2. Murphy M. 10. Harnett K. 5. McCourt R. 21. Hand D. 15. Ritchie R. 6. Bartley R. 11. Wynne J. 25. Butler R. 24. Doyle J. 7. Rowe M. (C)	44. Halwax H. (G) 3. O'Connell S. 14. Hakkinen J. 18. Aladesanusi S. 41. Bargary C. 29. Lee E. 28. Brookwell N. (C) 24. Borden V. 17. Brosnan C. 10. Murphy C. 11. Okwute D.
Substitutes
8. Abada Z. 26. Dignam K. 34. Dobbyn A. 14. Doyle L. 19. Hodgins G. 20. Martin P. (G) 9. O'Sullivan Z. 17. Tetteh G. 4. Verdon A.	26. Britton M. 34. Keane R. 40. Mangan H. (G) 7. McGrath S. 21. Palmer L. 23. Perez R. 32. Stack S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Harnett K. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Hakkinen J. ⚽,
42', Okwute D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Lee E. 🟨,
58', Ritchie R. ↓, Tetteh G. ↑,
61', Brosnan C. ↓, McGrath S. ↑,
71', Butler R. ↓, O'Sullivan Z. ↑,
72', Bargary C. ↓, Britton M. ↑,
82', Wynne J. ↓, Hodgins G. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, McGrath S. ⚽,
89', Harnett K. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, O'Sullivan Z. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 2.

Wexford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Kerry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Wexford is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wexford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kerry	34	13	9	12	42:40	2	48
8	Wexford	34	11	8	15	40:51	-11	41

Last Results with these Odds

Wexford - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Kerry - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.92%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
03.07.26	Finn Harps - Wexford	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Wexford - Treaty United	0:0 ✺
19.06.26	Athlone Town - Wexford	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Wexford - Cork City	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLL
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
03.07.26	Treaty United - Kerry	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Kerry - Longford Town	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	University College Dublin - Kerry	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Kerry - Athlone Town	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Cobh Ramblers - Kerry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
15.05.26	Kerry - Wexford	2:1
13.03.26	Wexford - Kerry	1:1
10.10.25	Kerry - Wexford	0:2
27.06.25	Wexford - Kerry	4:3
16.05.25	Kerry - Wexford	1:1
21.03.25	Wexford - Kerry	1:2
11.10.24	Wexford - Kerry	4:0

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