Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Ferrycarrig Park (Wexford)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Wexford		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	4.20
	1.68	3.65	4.20
	1.73	4.05	4.60
	1.69	3.82	4.27	Watch
	1.69	4.00	4.40
	1.65	3.70	4.47
	1.71	3.60	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	4.33 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wexford
54.4%

Draw
24.4%

Treaty United
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

19.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wexford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wexford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treaty United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Wexford - Treaty United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wexford will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Treaty United will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moody A. (G) 2. Murphy M. 5. McCourt R. 10. Harnett K. 21. Hand D. 25. Butler R. 15. Ritchie R. 11. Wynne J. 19. Hodgins G. 7. Rowe M. (C) 14. Doyle L.	1. Brady J. (G) 9. Curtis C. 20. Nwankwo D. 16. Yoro E. 27. Lynch R. 11. Byrne M. 23. Doherty F. 6. Healy S. 15. Feeney B. 29. Foley K. 30. Murphy M.
Substitutes
8. Abada Z. 37. Byrne K. 26. Dignam K. 34. Dobbyn A. 31. Kinch D. 20. Martin P. (G) 32. Mullan C. 22. Vance B.	8. Conroy C. 19. Cunningham B. 21. Fitzpatrick K. (G) 12. Lapointe R. 10. Lawlor R. 14. Lee B. 3. Lynch B. 31. Manning R. 33. Ohin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Butler R. 🟨,
41', McCourt R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Doyle L. ↓, Byrne K. ↑,
68', Doherty F. ↓, Lynch B. ↑,
68', Byrne M. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
69', Feeney B. ↓, Manning R. ↑,
73', Healy S. ↓, Conroy C. ↑,
76', Harnett K. ↓, Abada Z. ↑,
82', Hodgins G. ↓, Dignam K. ↑,
85', Conroy C. 🟨,
86', Curtis C. ↓, Cunningham B. ↑,
90+2', Murphy M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 2.

Wexford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Treaty United has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Wexford is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wexford won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Wexford	34	11	8	15	40:51	-11	41
9	Treaty United	34	9	9	16	33:52	-19	36

Last Results with these Odds

Treaty United - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
19.06.26	Athlone Town - Wexford	2:2 ✺
12.06.26	Wexford - Cork City	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	4:0 ✺
22.05.26	Wexford - University College Dublin	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Kerry - Wexford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- Treaty United
Irish Division 1
19.06.26	Cork City - Treaty United	4:0 ✺
12.06.26	Treaty United - Bray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
29.05.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Treaty United - Cork City	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Treaty United - Cobh Ramblers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.05.26	Treaty United - Wexford	1:0
27.03.26	Wexford - Treaty United	3:2
17.10.25	Wexford - Treaty United	0:2
23.06.25	Treaty United - Wexford	0:0
21.04.25	Wexford - Treaty United	2:0
14.03.25	Treaty United - Wexford	0:1
Irish FAI Cup
13.09.24	Wexford - Treaty United	4:1

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