Match Info

Division 1 - Round 36

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ferrycarrig Park (Wexford) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	18:45	LOI TV


	Wexford		University College Dublin

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.32	3.50	2.50
	2.73	3.80	2.38
	2.41	3.59	2.55	Watch
	2.70	3.60	2.35
	2.51	3.55	2.28
	2.55	3.50	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.39)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	2.39 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wexford
36%

Draw
25.7%

University College Dublin
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wexford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Wexford - University College Dublin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wexford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moody A. (G) 2. Murphy M. 5. McCourt R. 15. Ritchie R. 6. Bartley R. 25. Butler R. 8. Abada Z. 7. Rowe M. (C) 14. Doyle L. 26. Dignam K. 33. Doyle J.	1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 10. Behan C. 7. McCullagh M. 8. Dignam L. 13. Goad J. 14. Curtis H. 11. Smith H. 15. Akinrintayo C.
Substitutes
37. Byrne K. 34. Dobbyn A. 19. Hodgins G. 20. Martin P. (G) 27. Mazur A. 9. O'Sullivan Z. 28. Voloshyn I.	12. Alonge M. 19. Bolton C. 16. Douglas N. (G) 18. Holohan N. 23. McBrearty R. 31. Mohan S. 24. Norval S. 21. Ogbonna G. 27. Sheeran E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Doyle L. ⚽,
28', Butler R. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Smith H. ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, Behan C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', McCourt R. ↓, Hodgins G. ↑,
59', Goad J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 4, Smith H. ⚽,
69', Doyle L. ↓, Byrne K. ↑,
70', 2 - 4, Dignam K. ⚽,
73', Akinrintayo C. ↓, Norval S. ↑,
73', 2 - 5, Norval S. ⚽,
74', Smith H. ↓, McBrearty R. ↑,
75', Goad J. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
79', Cailloce L. ↓, Holohan N. ↑,
79', Behan C. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,
82', Rowe M. ↓, Mazur A. ↑,
82', Doyle J. ↓, Voloshyn I. ↑,
86', Ritchie R. 🟨,
90+2', Voloshyn I. 🟨,
90+3', Murphy S. 🟨,

Preview

UCD is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wexford has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:51 (averaging 1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wexford against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with 10:31 goals (averaging 0.9:2.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Wexford - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

University College Dublin - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.74%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
09.10.26	Bray Wanderers - Wexford	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	Wexford - Longford Town	3:3 ✺
25.09.26	Kerry - Wexford	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Wexford - Cobh Ramblers	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Wexford - Finn Harps	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLWL
- University College Dublin
Irish Division 1
09.10.26	University College Dublin - Longford Town	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Treaty United - University College Dublin	0:4 ✺
25.09.26	University College Dublin - Bray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Cork City - University College Dublin	5:1 ✺
11.09.26	University College Dublin - Athlone Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
07.08.26	University College Dublin - Wexford	4:1
22.05.26	Wexford - University College Dublin	2:1
06.04.26	University College Dublin - Wexford	0:0
05.10.25	Wexford - University College Dublin	0:3
08.08.25	University College Dublin - Wexford	1:0
25.04.25	Wexford - University College Dublin	0:2
14.02.25	University College Dublin - Wexford	0:3

Wexford - University College Dublin