The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
University College Dublin 48.8%
Draw 25.1%
Longford Town 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
23.9%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
25.4%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University College Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
University College Dublin - Longford Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kavanagh D. (G) 2. Murphy S. 3. Cailloce L. 5. Lennox C. 10. Behan C. 7. McCullagh M. 8. Dignam L. 13. Goad J. 14. Curtis H. 24. Norval S. 11. Smith H.
1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 5. McCarthy T. 12. Omorehiomwan C. 21. Hough J. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 28. Moore S. 8. Manuel P. 10. Doran A. 23. Paraschiv A. 15. Murtagh D.
Substitutes
15. Akinrintayo C. 12. Alonge M. 19. Bolton C. 16. Douglas N. (G) 31. Mohan S. 22. Morley T. 21. Ogbonna G. 27. Sheeran E. 6. Wells A.
18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 19. Campbell F. 26. Egan J. 7. George D. 11. Harris M. 4. McKenna D. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Adenekan S. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, McCullagh M. ⚽, Murphy S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Adenekan S. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Smith H. ⚽,
60', Hough J. 🟨,
66', Paraschiv A. ↓, George D. ↑,
66', Moore S. ↓, Brady S. ↑,
67', Manuel P. ↓, Egan J. ↑,
68', Goad J. ↓, Morley T. ↑,
68', Smith H. ↓, Mohan S. ↑,
73', Behan C. ↓, Akinrintayo C. ↑,
73', Murphy S. ↓, Wells A. ↑,
75', Omorehiomwan C. ↓, McKenna D. ↑,
79', McCullagh M. ↓, Alonge M. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 2-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 2.
UCD has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Longford has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with UCD holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, UCD has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:24 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for UCD against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.5:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Longford Town - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 22.7%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
International
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Kavanagh D. (G) 
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