Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ferrycarrig Park (Wexford)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Wexford		Longford Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.40
	1.78	3.50	3.65
	2.00	4.14	3.50
	1.82	3.77	3.68	Watch
	1.89	4.05	3.45
	1.87	4.21	3.62
	1.90	3.55	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	3.82 ↓ (3.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wexford
49.4%

Draw
24.2%

Longford Town
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

23.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

22.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wexford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Longford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wexford - Longford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wexford will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wexford (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wexford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Martin P. (G) 2. Murphy M. 5. McCourt R. 6. Bartley R. 7. Rowe M. (C) 8. Abada Z. 11. Wynne J. 15. Ritchie R. 17. Tetteh G. 26. Dignam K. 33. Doyle J.	1. Moore K. (G) 6. Adenekan S. 5. McCarthy T. 15. Murtagh D. 21. Hough J. 8. Manuel P. 14. Williams D. 20. O'Brien A. (C) 10. Doran A. 23. Paraschiv A. 28. Moore S.
Substitutes
37. Byrne K. 14. Doyle L. 27. Mazur A. 1. Moody A. (G) 32. Mullan C. 18. Norval A. 9. O'Sullivan Z. 22. Vance B. 4. Verdon A.	16. Bailey J. 18. Brady S. 27. Brunton K. 19. Campbell F. 24. Dawson R. 7. George D. 11. Harris M. 9. Ugbesia S. 25. Woodcock L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Wynne J. ↓, Norval A. ↑,
16', 1 - 0, Rowe M. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 0, Bartley R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 🟨,
59', Paraschiv A. ↓, Bailey J. ↑,
59', Manuel P. ↓, Ugbesia S. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Bailey J. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Williams D. ⚽,
65', Rowe M. ↓, O'Sullivan Z. ↑,
74', Doyle J. ↓, Verdon A. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, O'Brien A. ⚽,
82', Murtagh D. ↓, Brady S. ↑,
88', Williams D. ↓, Campbell F. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Dignam K. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Wexford is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wexford has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:33 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wexford against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:16 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Longford	35	13	10	12	48:46	2	49
8	Wexford	35	11	9	15	42:53	-11	42

Last Results with these Odds

Longford Town - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.68%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
25.09.26	Kerry - Wexford	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	Wexford - Cobh Ramblers	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Wexford - Finn Harps	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Treaty United - Wexford	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cork City - Wexford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Longford Town
Irish Division 1
26.09.26	Longford Town - Cork City	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Finn Harps - Longford Town	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Longford Town - Treaty United	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Longford Town - Kerry	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Cobh Ramblers - Longford Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
25.07.26	Longford Town - Wexford	1:2
08.05.26	Wexford - Longford Town	1:2
21.03.26	Longford Town - Wexford	2:0
30.08.25	Longford Town - Wexford	2:2
20.06.25	Wexford - Longford Town	0:1
03.05.25	Longford Town - Wexford	2:1
08.04.25	Wexford - Longford Town	3:1

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