Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Weymouth		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.37
	2.75	3.3	2.35
	2.85	3.25	2.35
	2.85	3.35	2.25
	2.96	3.53	2.36
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.85	3.56	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	3.39 ↓ (3.47)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
32.6%

Draw
27.4%

Aldershot Town
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

19.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weymouth - Aldershot Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Weymouth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League
25.01.22	Weymouth - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 ✺
22.01.22	Boreham Wood - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Dartford - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
English National League
08.01.22	Weymouth - Southend United	0:1 ✺
02.01.22	Eastleigh - Weymouth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLLL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
25.01.22	Aldershot Town - Southend United	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Chesterfield - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.01.22	Aldershot Town - Bromley	0:2 ✺
English National League
08.01.22	Aldershot Town - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
02.01.22	Woking - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.10.21	Aldershot Town - Weymouth	0:2
13.04.21	Weymouth - Aldershot Town	0:3
26.01.21	Aldershot Town - Weymouth	0:2

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