Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.37
	2.8	3.6	2.26
	2.83	3.6	2.24
	2.87	3.48	2.33	Watch
	2.58	3.61	2.48
	2.8	3.5	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.58)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
33.8%

Draw
26.5%

Chelmsford City
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.3%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Weymouth - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
15', 1 - 0, Linton M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Ruff C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Ruff C. ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, Bland J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 1 - 4, Ruff C. ⚽,
77', 1 - 5, Crichlow K. ⚽,
85', 1 - 6, Murphy J. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Weymouth is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
21.04.25	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Weymouth - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Maidstone United - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Weymouth - Slough Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTTLW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
21.04.25	Chelmsford City - Welling United	5:1 ✺
18.04.25	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chelmsford City - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.12.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	0:0
10.02.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	1:0
26.08.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	0:3
21.01.23	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	1:2
20.08.22	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	3:1
10.08.19	Weymouth - Chelmsford City	4:1
English FA Cup
30.09.17	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	2:1

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