Match Info

National League South - Round 44

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Aveley		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.7	3.4	2.42
	2.6	3.52	2.52
	2.6	3.44	2.56	Watch
	2.59	3.34	2.47
	2.7	3.4	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.67)	3.4 ↓ (3.54)	2.42 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
34.7%

Draw
27.2%

Chelmsford City
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Aveley - Chelmsford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Holness L. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Aveley is Relegated to

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
12.04.25	Salisbury - Aveley	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Slough Town - Aveley	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Aveley - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLLTL
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
12.04.25	Chelmsford City - Enfield Town	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Chelmsford City - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
01.01.25	Chelmsford City - Aveley	1:0
02.03.24	Chelmsford City - Aveley	2:0
13.11.23	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:2
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Aveley - Chelmsford City	3:1
Club Friendly
02.07.19	Aveley - Chelmsford City	1:2

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