The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 17.5%
Draw 24.7%
Stockport County 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
28.7%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.7%
28.1%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stockport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.3%
3.3%
53.3%
Hartlepool United - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). Stockport will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 35.4% – 71.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 14).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (43.55%), has project points - 38, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Stockport has the most likely position - 13 (7.02%), has project points - 64, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (18%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, small importance28, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Stockport is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
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