Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 37

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	St Albans City		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	1.82	3.6	3.95
	1.76	3.9	4.1
	1.78	3.81	4.16
	1.81	3.72	4.03
	1.82	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	3.93 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
51%

Draw
25.4%

Weymouth
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

St Albans City - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 1 - 0, Longe-King D. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, McCarthy J. (Pen),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match St Albans is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches St Albans won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
01.03.25	Chippenham Town - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	St Albans City - Boreham Wood	1:3 ✺
17.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bath City - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWLLW
- Weymouth
English National League South
01.03.25	Weymouth - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Farnborough - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Weymouth - Bath City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.11.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	1:1
27.02.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	3:3
05.08.23	St Albans City - Weymouth	2:1
18.02.23	Weymouth - St Albans City	0:0
08.11.22	St Albans City - Weymouth	3:2
21.12.19	Weymouth - St Albans City	0:1
English FA Cup
05.10.19	Weymouth - St Albans City	4:1

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