Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 35

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Truro City		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.7	5
	1.59	4.24	5.09
	1.6	4.01	5.28	Watch
	1.44	4	7
	1.54	3.88	5.71
	1.56	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	3.92 ↑ (3.72)	5.51 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

Weymouth
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.5%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Truro City - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Truro City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Harvey T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Linton M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Truro won 2.

Truro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Truro is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Truro to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Truro won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:7 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Truro won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
22.02.25	Truro City - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Truro City - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	1:3 ✺
01.02.25	Truro City - Bath City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTWT
- Weymouth
English National League South
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Farnborough - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Weymouth - Bath City	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Chesham United - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Weymouth - Welling United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.11.24	Weymouth - Truro City	1:4
18.04.24	Truro City - Weymouth	0:0
21.11.23	Weymouth - Truro City	2:0
English Southern Premier League
06.04.15	Truro City - Weymouth	2:0
01.01.15	Weymouth - Truro City	1:1
21.04.14	Weymouth - Truro City	2:5
08.04.14	Truro City - Weymouth	2:1

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