Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 36

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	3.15	3	2.15
	3.29	3.14	2.25
	3.28	3.17	2.25
	3.14	3.4	2.19
	3.15	3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.71)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	2.2 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
28.8%

Draw
29.3%

Hornchurch
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.4%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

29.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5%)

Weymouth - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, McQueen D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, McCarthy J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Linton M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Greenidge W. ⚽,
44', 2 - 3, Balanta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 3 - 3, Linton M. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Weymouth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
25.02.25	Truro City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Farnborough - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
11.02.25	Weymouth - Bath City	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Chesham United - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLL
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
25.02.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Hornchurch - Chesham United	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Torquay United - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Hornchurch - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bath City - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.11.24	Hornchurch - Weymouth	1:0

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