Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.5
	2.52	3.63	2.56
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.39)	2.53 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
37.2%

Draw
26.6%

Weston-super-Mare
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aveley's performance.

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weston-super-Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aveley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weston-super-Mare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aveley - Weston super Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kawa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 1 - 1, Pearson S. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Reid R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
11.02.25	Maidstone United - Aveley	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Aveley - Enfield Town	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Chippenham Town - Aveley	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aveley	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Aveley - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.8 WLLLW
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
11.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Boreham Wood - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Slough Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Weston-super-Mare - Welling United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1
13.04.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	1:2
04.11.23	Aveley - Weston-super-Mare	2:0

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