Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 42

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Whitby Town		Belper Town

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.4
	1.67	4.16	4.3
	1.67	3.6	4.33
	1.64	3.82	4.65
	1.68	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)	3.74 ↓ (3.92)	4.44 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
55%

Draw
24.4%

Belper Town
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Belper Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Whitby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belper Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Whitby Town - Belper Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Whitby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Belper have a series of home games.

In this match Whitby is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Whitby won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	1:3 ✺
10.04.23	Whitby Town - South Shields	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Stafford Rangers - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Hyde United - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Whitby Town - Marine	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL
- Belper Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Belper Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Belper Town - Matlock Town	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Warrington Rylands - Belper Town	3:1 ✺
04.04.23	Belper Town - Marske United	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Belper Town - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.11.22	Belper Town - Whitby Town	2:2
14.02.15	Whitby Town - Belper Town	3:3
06.09.14	Belper Town - Whitby Town	0:2

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