Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Whitby Town		Marine

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.35
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.9	3.63	2.21
	2.9	3.63	2.22
	2.25	3.75	2.5
	2.84	3.38	2.2
	2.8	3.5	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.02)	3.56 ↓ (3.85)	2.27 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
33.9%

Draw
25.7%

Marine
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

23.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

24.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Whitby Town's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Whitby Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Whitby Town - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitby won 2.

Recent matches Whitby is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marine is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Whitby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Whitby won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
19.12.23	Whitby Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Whitby Town - Workington	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTLT
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
19.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:5 ✺
16.12.23	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Marine - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
02.12.23	Marine - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.08.23	Marine - Whitby Town	1:3
25.03.23	Whitby Town - Marine	0:3
15.10.22	Marine - Whitby Town	2:0
06.04.19	Whitby Town - Marine	2:1
13.10.18	Marine - Whitby Town	0:0
21.04.18	Marine - Whitby Town	0:3
English FA Trophy
28.10.17	Whitby Town - Marine	1:3

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