Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Workington

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78
	2.21	3.87	2.79	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.2	3.5	2.84
	2.22	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.02)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	2.77 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
41.5%

Draw
25.7%

Workington
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Workington's recent form is better than expected.

Whitby Town - Workington Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Workington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 1.

Workington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Whitby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Whitby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Whitby won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	4	21
15	Whitby	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12

Last Results with these Odds

Workington - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.08%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:3 ✺
15.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTLWT
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Workington - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Workington - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Workington - Bamber Bridge	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Leek Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.08.25	Workington - Whitby Town	1:2
25.01.25	Whitby Town - Workington	1:3
21.09.24	Workington - Whitby Town	2:1
27.01.24	Workington - Whitby Town	0:0
25.11.23	Whitby Town - Workington	1:1
23.03.19	Whitby Town - Workington	0:1
16.10.18	Workington - Whitby Town	1:2

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