Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.05
	2.01	3.61	3.30	Watch
	2	3.32	3.33
	2.14	3.4	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.01)	3.41 ↓ (3.61)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
44.4%

Draw
26.7%

Leek Town
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Leek Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Whitby Town - Leek Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Leigh C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 2, Owolabi T. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Heath C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 18).

Recent performances by Whitby have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Whitby might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Whitby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Whitby Town - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTWL
- Leek Town
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Leek Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
11.11.25	Leek Town - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Warrington Rylands - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leek Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Leek Town - Whitby Town	1:2
19.10.24	Whitby Town - Leek Town	0:0

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