Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 8

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Widzew Łódź		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.55	4.05	5.5
	1.55	4.29	5.44
	1.07	8.63	40.00	Watch
	1.59	4.05	5.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.82)	4.84 ↑ (3.7)	11.31 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
69.6%

Draw
21.3%

Arka Gdynia
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

25.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.

Arka Gdynia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arka Gdynia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arka Gdynia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Arka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Arka (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Widzew (1.94) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Arka (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Widzew (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Arka (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ilic V. (G) 5. Andreou S. 4. Zyro M. (C) 14. Visus R. 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 55. Czyz S. 6. Shehu J. 77. Baena Perez A. 27. Ba P. M. 7. Fornalczyk M.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 23. Hermoso K. 29. Marcjanik M. (C) 18. Celestine J. 2. Navarro M. 10. Nguiamba A. 35. Jakubczyk K. 11. Kocyla D. 37. Kerk S. 99. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 27. Oliveira J.
Substitutes
57. Akere S. 25. Hanousek Mar. 98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 19. Pawlowski B. 8. Teklic T. 16. Therkildsen P. 24. Volanakis P. 9. Zeqiri A.	9. Gaprindashvili T. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 22. Percan 6. Perea L. 17. Predenkiewicz M. 31. Rusyn N. 8. Sidibe A. 7. Sobczak S. 21. Szysz P. 4. Zator D.
Coaches
Czubak P.	Szwarga D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Baena Perez A. ⚽, Shehu J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ba P. M. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
64', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
71', Kocyla D. ↓, Gaprindashvili T. ↑,
71', Oliveira J. ↓, Szysz P. ↑,
71', Celestine J. 🟨,
74', Kozlovsky S. ↓, Therkildsen P. ↑,
74', Czyz S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
80', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Sobczak S. ↑,
80', Kerk S. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
80', Navarro M. ↓, Predenkiewicz M. ↑,
89', Baena Perez A. ↓, Akere S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 0, Akere S. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1.

Widzew is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Widzew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Widzew is the team to beat.

There will not play in Widzew: Kozlovsky S. (Ankle Injury) Therkildsen P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Arka: Abramowicz D. (Injury) Gojny D. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.08.25	Lech Poznań - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Widzew Łódź - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Arka Gdynia	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	GKS Katowice - Arka Gdynia	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Legia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.02.22	Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia	2:5
18.08.21	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	3:1
23.05.21	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	0:0
29.11.20	Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia	2:1
21.03.15	Widzew Łódź - Arka Gdynia	0:0
26.08.14	Arka Gdynia - Widzew Łódź	1:2

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