Match Info

Date: 24 September 2021, Friday


	Widzew Łódź		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	8
	1.43	4	7.25
	1.4	3.95	6.75
	1.47	3.9	6.4
	1.47	4.28	8.06
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.47	4.2	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	4.01 ↓ (4.2)	7.29 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
64.2%

Draw
23.1%

Skra Częstochowa
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

13.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Widzew Łódź - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 10).

Widzew is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Skra Częstochowa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Skra Częstochowa have a series of guest games.

In this match Widzew is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Widzew to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Division 1
19.09.21	GKS Tychy - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
10.09.21	Widzew Łódź - GKS Katowice	3:1 ✺
05.09.21	Odra Opole - Widzew Łódź	0:0 ✺
28.08.21	Widzew Łódź - Polkowice	4:2 ✺
21.08.21	Widzew Łódź - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWTWW
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
20.09.21	Skra Częstochowa - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
10.09.21	Chrobry Głogów - Skra Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
04.09.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
23.08.21	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
17.08.21	Miedź Legnica - Skra Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
03.06.20	Widzew Łódź - Skra Częstochowa	0:2
25.08.19	Skra Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:0
27.04.19	Skra Częstochowa - Widzew Łódź	1:1
13.10.18	Widzew Łódź - Skra Częstochowa	2:0

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