Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Wieczysta Kraków		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.33
	1.62	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.58	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.74	3.99	4.4
	1.64	4.09	4.67	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.8
	1.56	4.1	5.07
	1.51	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)	4.74 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
57.6%

Draw
22.9%

Znicz Pruszków
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wieczysta Kraków's form might have worsened.

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 44. Szymonowicz D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 3. Goralski J. 19. Trabka M. 30. Donkor J. 27. Carlitos 77. Semedo L. 21. Rafa Lopes	23. Napieraj K. (G) 17. Kazimierczak A. 24. Lorenc M. 6. Pawlik M. 99. Koprowski O. 14. Okhronchuk V. 10. Ciepiela B. 29. Borecki M. 7. Sokol D. 11. Moskwik P. (C) 90. Nowakowski J.
Substitutes
23. Brlek P. 99. Feliks M. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 89. Mikolajewski D. 6. Pietrzak R. 11. Sandoval D. 12. Soberka K. (G) 8. Swedrowski T.	2. Brysiak H. 19. Karol M. 16. Kieszek W. 21. Mak M. 12. Misztal P. (G) 53. Nadolski A. 8. Proczek T. 77. Skladowski F. 22. Tabara K.
Coaches
Cecherz P.	Matysiak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Pestka K. ⚽, Carlitos (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Okhronchuk V. ↓, Karol M. ↑,
46', Ciepiela B. 🟨,
51', Semedo L. 🟨,
57', Ciepiela B. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Semedo L. ⚽, Dankowski K. (A),
63', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
63', Carlitos ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
70', Sokol D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,
70', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Mak M. ↑,
75', Rafa Lopes ↓, Swedrowski T. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Lysiak P. ⚽, Mikulko A. (A),
79', Lorenc M. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
82', Pestka K. ↓, Pietrzak R. ↑,
84', Nadolski A. 🟨,
87', 4 - 0, Semedo L. ⚽, Lysiak P. (A),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

Wieczysta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Znicz is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Wieczysta is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Wieczysta Kraków - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 62.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
05.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:5 ✺
28.06.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Zbrojovka Brno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
25.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec	4:5 ✺
18.07.25	ŁKS Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Widzew Łódź - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Motor Lublin - Znicz Pruszków	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Upcoming Matches