Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Stroud K. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.6
	1.98	3.6	3.5
	2	3.6	3.5
	2.11	3.72	3.71
	1.98	3.6	3.54	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.6
	1.99	3.66	3.62	Watch
	2	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.61 ↓ (3.71)	3.57 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
47.3%

Draw
26.2%

Crawley Town
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

27.2%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 23. Carragher J. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 3. Chambers L. 16. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 7. Rankine D. 10. Aasgaard T. 29. Thomas S. 9. Hugill J.	1. Wollacott J. (G) 24. Mullarkey T. 20. Mukena J. 28. Flint J. 22. Adeyemo A. 26. Williams J. 6. Anderson M. 18. Quitirna A. 19. Kelly J. 10. Darcy R. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R.
Substitutes
22. Lonergan A. (G) 20. McManaman C. 27. Payne K. 5. Sessegnon S. 17. Sibbick T. 21. Smith S. 14. Sze C.	5. Barker C. 16. Beach E. (G) 4. Bragg C. 12. Camara P. 27. Khaleel R. 25. Papadopoulos A. 11. Roles J.
Coaches
Maloney S.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Flint J. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Mukena J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Smith M. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
70', Adeyemo A. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
70', Anderson M. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
70', Thomas S. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
77', Hugill J. ↓, Sze C. ↑,
78', Rankine D. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
78', Carragher J. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
81', Williams J. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
83', Tickle S. 🟨,
88', Darcy R. 🟨,
89', McManaman C. 🟨,

Preview

Wigan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crawley in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wigan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Crawley to win the game is with odds 3.99.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League One
17.08.24	Reading - Wigan Athletic	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Barrow - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
02.08.24	Tranmere Rovers - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Crawley Town
English EFL Trophy
20.08.24	Crawley Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
17.08.24	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	4:2 ✺
English League One
10.08.24	Crawley Town - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Ebbsfleet United - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.17	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	2:1

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