Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Willem II		Glasgow Rangers

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.65
	4.2	3.7	1.7
	4.2	4	1.76
	4.4	3.85	1.68
	4.63	4.05	1.7
	4.5	3.6	1.67
	4.55	3.78	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.92)	3.85 ↓ (3.88)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
20.8%

Draw
24.2%

Glasgow Rangers
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Glasgow Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glasgow Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	9.2%	81.5%

Willem II - Glasgow Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Glasgow Rangers will win (106 of 130 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.87% – 88.21%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Willem II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rangers is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.20	Willem II - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.20	Progrès Niedercorn - Willem II	0:5 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.09.20	Heerenveen - Willem II	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.20	Willem II - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
14.08.20	Willem II - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTW
- Glasgow Rangers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.09.20	Deportes Magallanes - Glasgow Rangers	5:5 ✺
Scottish Premier League
20.09.20	Hibernian - Glasgow Rangers	2:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.09.20	Glasgow Rangers - Barnechea	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Lincoln Red Imps - Glasgow Rangers	0:5 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
13.09.20	Glasgow Rangers - Cobreloa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWW

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