Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.35	2.22
	2.91	3.39	2.15
	2.91	3.42	2.16
	2.42	3.6	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.38)	3.44 ↓ (3.9)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
32.6%

Draw
26.5%

Chatham Town
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

23.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

22.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wimborne Town's form might have worsened.

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wimborne Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Wimborne Town - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 1, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,

Preview

Wimborne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chatham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chatham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chatham has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Chatham Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Hungerford Town - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Wimborne Town - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Wimborne Town - Portchester	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWW
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.25	Ramsgate - Chatham Town	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hashtag United - Chatham Town	0:6 ✺
04.11.25	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Buxton - Chatham Town	2:1 ET ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Waltham Abbey - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

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