Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Buxton		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	2.95
	1.93	3.61	3.59	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.06	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	3.68 ↑ (3.68)	3.19 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
45.1%

Draw
25.5%

Chatham Town
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chatham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Buxton - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Young J. (G) 12. Stephenson L. 5. Ward G. 22. Bardell M. 6. Burton K. 8. Kirby C. 4. Campbell T. 17. McLean R. 21. Greaves O. 11. Brennan L. 20. Sodje T.	31. Molyneux H. (G) 2. Evans O. 5. Butler R. 6. Nelson S. 3. Aidoo K. 8. Moynes K. 4. Robins J. 12. Garlinge K. 10. Sene Richardson S. 18. Oldfield S. 19. Fadahunsi T.
Substitutes
13. Cooper P. (G) 9. Ebanks C. 23. Hall L. 3. Hill D. 7. Johnston J. 14. Martin K. 27. Robinson S. 2. Trueman W. 18. Viggars R.	28. Allen B. 20. Anokye-Boadi K. 16. Chambers L. 15. Cooper S. 26. Giles A. 1. Harvey N. (G) 14. Leathers A. 35. Macarthur M. 23. Olugbodi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Garlinge K. 🟨,
43', Evans O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
57', Stephenson L. ↓, Hill D. ↑,
57', McLean R. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Campbell T. ⚽,
64', Garlinge K. ↓, Leathers A. ↑,
80', Sene Richardson S. ↓, Anokye-Boadi K. ↑,
90', Nelson S. ↓, Giles A. ↑,
90', Evans O. ↓, Cooper S. ↑,
90+1', Robins J. ↓, Chambers L. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
92', Greaves O. 🟨,
96', Bardell M. 🟨,
99', Aidoo K. ↓, Olugbodi A. ↑,
100', Chambers L. 🟨,
101', Sodje T. 🟨,
102', Greaves O. ↓, Johnston J. ↑,
114', 2 - 1, Kirby C. ⚽,
118', Kirby C. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
118', Brennan L. ↓, Martin K. ↑,

Preview

Buxton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chatham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buxton could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Buxton - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
25.10.25	Buxton - Alfreton Town	6:0 ✺
21.10.25	Peterborough Sports - Buxton	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Buxton - Chorley	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Runcorn Linnets - Buxton	0:1 ✺
English National League North
04.10.25	Buxton - Darlington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Chatham Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Waltham Abbey - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Chatham Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Chatham Town - Cray Wanderers	3:3 ✺
14.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Tonbridge Angels - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWW

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