Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Dorchester Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.25	2.68
	2.34	3.35	2.78
	2.32	3.63	2.75	Watch
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.31	3.25	2.77
	2.36	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.31)	3.29 ↓ (3.56)	2.76 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
39.3%

Draw
27.7%

Evesham United
33%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

25.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Dorchester Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Parker J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent performances by Dorchester have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Evesham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dorchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dorchester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13

Last Results with these Odds

Dorchester Town - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
14.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Dorchester Town - Uxbridge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLL
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
07.02.26	Evesham United - Wimborne Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Evesham United - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Farnham Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Evesham United - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
22.11.25	Evesham United - Dorchester Town	4:1

Dorchester Town - Evesham United