Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.33	3.4
	1.71	4.3	3.55
	1.75	4.52	3.55
	1.74	4.3	3.86	Watch
	1.69	3.8	4.11
	1.71	4.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.28)	4.26 ↑ (3.55)	3.67 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
53.5%

Draw
21.5%

Taunton Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

25.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winchester City's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Winchester City - Taunton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winchester (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Wright T. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Nielsen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Winchester is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Winchester City - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Taunton Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
21.04.25	Totton - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Winchester City - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
21.04.25	Taunton Town - Tiverton Town	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Hanwell Town - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Taunton Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sholing - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.02.25	Taunton Town - Winchester City	1:1

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