Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 40

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2.26	3.7	2.6
	2.27	3.9	2.65
	2.3	3.85	2.7
	2.22	3.7	2.57
	2.26	3.7	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.32)	3.74 ↑ (3.62)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
40.6%

Draw
24.4%

Chertsey Town
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Winchester City - Chertsey Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chertsey (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Barron J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Mazzone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Wright T. ⚽,
48', 3 - 1, Mlambo S. ⚽,
53', 4 - 1, Wright T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Winchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chertsey is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Winchester won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Last Results with these Odds

Winchester City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.25%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
12.04.25	Bracknell Town - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Winchester City - Plymouth Parkway	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Winchester City - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Hungerford Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Winchester City - Tiverton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWL
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
12.04.25	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Frome Town - Chertsey Town	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	3:1 ✺
25.03.25	Chertsey Town - Taunton Town	3:3 ✺
22.03.25	Merthyr Town - Chertsey Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
07.09.24	Chertsey Town - Winchester City	3:3

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