Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.92	3.55	2.05
	3.04	3.73	2.04
	6.29	5.13	1.36	Watch
	3	3.54	2.07
	2.9	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.11)	3.83 ↑ (3.52)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
26.7%

Draw
24.5%

Chatham Town
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

25.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Moynes K. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Fadahunsi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 3, Sene Richardson S. ⚽,
89', 🟥,
89', Garrett-Douglas R. 🟥,

Preview

Wingate & Finchley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chatham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chatham could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Potters Bar Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Wingate & Finchley - Whitehawk	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
12.08.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Aveley - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Chatham Town - Ramsgate	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	St Albans City - Chatham Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.01.25	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
19.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town	1:1
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.02.24	Wingate & Finchley - Chatham Town	4:2
21.11.23	Chatham Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:1

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