Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday


	Wingate & Finchley		Farnborough

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.72	Watch
	3.73	3.62	1.7
	3.9	3.92	1.74	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.26)	3.84 ↑ (3.62)	1.74 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
23.8%

Draw
23.8%

Farnborough
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

26.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.3%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wingate & Finchley's form might have worsened.

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Farnborough's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Farnborough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wingate & Finchley - Farnborough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Wingate & Finchley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Farnborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farnborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Farnborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.23	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
28.08.23	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Wingate & Finchley - Kingstonian	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Whitehawk - Wingate & Finchley	3:3 ✺
15.08.23	Haringey Borough - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWTW
- Farnborough
English National League South
09.09.23	Braintree Town - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
05.09.23	Torquay United - Farnborough	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Farnborough - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Truro City - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.11.15	Farnborough - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
07.11.15	Wingate & Finchley - Farnborough	4:3

Upcoming Matches