Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Wisła Kraków		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.44	Watch
	6.75	4.2	1.47
	6.75	4.3	1.44	Watch
	6.8	4.2	1.46
	7.48	4.38	1.49
	7	3.9	1.42
	6.95	4.35	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↑ (4.92)	4.19 ↑ (3.7)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
13.4%

Draw
22.3%

Lech Poznań
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

24.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

20.5%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Kraków's form might have worsened.

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lech Poznań's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+4%)

Wisła Kraków - Lech Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wisła won 1.

Wisła is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lech is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wisła could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lech is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 28 head-to-head matches Wisła won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 25-46.

Including matches at home between the teams Wisła won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.03.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.03.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Wisła Kraków	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.02.22	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Wisła Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Wisła Kraków - Stal Mielec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.03.22	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.03.22	Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
26.02.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Lech Poznań - Termalica Nieciecza	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
17.09.21	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	5:0
08.05.21	Wisła Kraków - Lech Poznań	1:2
19.12.20	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	0:1
08.03.20	Wisła Kraków - Lech Poznań	1:1
05.10.19	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	4:0
21.12.18	Wisła Kraków - Lech Poznań	0:1
19.08.18	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	2:5

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