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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 69.9%
Draw 17.9%
Termalica Nieciecza 12.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
21.8%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
16.6%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.
Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
Lech Poznań will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 27. Monka W. 72. Skrzypczak M. 15. Gurgul M. 43. Kozubal A. 99. Rodriguez P. 8. Gholizadeh A. 10. Walemark P. 14. Bengtsson L. 9. Ishak M. (C)
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 32. Matysik M. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 17. Biniek D. 23. Guerrero S. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 13. Kubica K. 9. Jimenez J. 19. Durdov I.
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 1. Andreev P. (G) 53. Dudek S. 20. Gumny R. 88. Ismaheel T. 6. Ouma T. 77. Palma L. 23. Thordarson G.
7. Fassbender M. 26. Jakubik W. 5. Masoero L. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 86. Strzalek I. 53. Trubeha A. 25. Zapolnik K.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.
Brosz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Bengtsson L. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Gholizadeh A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Kubica K. 🟨,
53', Biniek D. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
53', Guerrero S. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
53', Durdov I. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
60', Walemark P. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Isik G. ⚽,
71', Matysik M. 🟨,
78', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
79', Kubica K. 🟨,
81', Jimenez J. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
82', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
84', Bengtsson L. ↓, Dudek S. ↑,
84', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Ismaheel T. ⚽, Thordarson G. (A),
90', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Jakubik W. ↑,
90+1', Masoero L. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 5.
Lech has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lech is the obvious favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lech won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 28:8. (average 2.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 4:0.8).
Canada
Croatia
Finland
Poland
Usa
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Mrozek B. (G) 
Pereira J. 
Rodriguez P. 
Gholizadeh A. 
Walemark P. 
Chovan A. (G) 
Isik G. 
Putivtsev A. (C) 
Durdov I. 
Agnero Y. 
Andreev P. (G) 
Ismaheel T. 
Ouma T. 
Palma L. 
Thordarson G. 
Masoero L. 
Frederiksen N. 
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