Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Kraków		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5	Watch
	1.5	4.35	5.3	Watch
	1.55	4.32	5.47
	1.58	4.39	4.82	Watch
	1.48	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	5.1 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
60.4%

Draw
21.5%

Polonia Bytom
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21.7%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Wisła Kraków aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Polonia Bytom aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wisła (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Wisła (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Polonia Bytom (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Polonia Bytom (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 97. Biedrzycki W. 29. Grujcic D. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Duarte F. 9. Rodado A. (C)	1. Holewinski A. (G) 30. Krzyzak O. 13. Azatsky O. 5. Matic M. 10. Michalski K. 8. Labojko M. 18. Gajda T. 7. Zielinski L. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 23. Arak J. 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
1. Broda K. (G) 12. Igbekeme J. 57. Kawala S. 50. Kutwa M. 26. Lasicki I. 2. Lelieveld J. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E. 19. Sukiennicki O.	27. Apolinarski J. 4. Bakala M. 22. Calavera J. 35. Mazur K. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 29. Terlecki K. 9. Wojtyra K.
Coaches
Jop M.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
59', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
63', Kuziemka M. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
63', Krzyzanowski J. ↓, Lelieveld J. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Igbekeme J. ⚽, Lelieveld J. (A),
74', Ertlthaler J. 🟨,
74', Arak J. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
75', Michalski K. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
76', Krzyzak O. ↓, Szymusik G. ↑,
76', Labojko M. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
83', Duda K. ↓, Omic E. ↑,
90', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Nikaj A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Wisła has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia Bytom is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Polonia Bytom has had a series of away games.

In this match, Wisła is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wisła won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Wisła won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.25	Miedź Legnica - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWTLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Warta Poznań - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Polonia Bytom - Miedź Legnica	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Baník Ostrava B - Polonia Bytom	1:5 ✺
04.09.25	Cracovia - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.23	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	0:2

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