Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Orlen Stadion (Płock)

Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Wisła Płock		Radomiak Radom

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.85
	2.4	3.25	2.82
	2.58	3.25	2.97
	2.5	3.32	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.46	3.13	2.83	Watch
	2.26	2.95	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.26)	3.18 ↑ (2.95)	2.84 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock
38.2%

Draw
29.2%

Radomiak Radom
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Wisła Płock - Radomiak Radom Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Radomiak will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wisła Płock (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 4. Haglind-Sangre M. 35. Kaminski M. (C) 25. Mijuskovic N. 21. Rogelj Z. 14. Kun D. 88. Savvidis K. 8. Pacheco D. 19. Gallapeni D. 9. Niarchos G. 30. Nowak W.	1. Majchrowicz F. (G) 24. Zie Ouattara 5. Blasco J. 26. Dieguez A. 13. Grzesik J. 77. Donis C. 21. Balde E. 27. Wolski R. (C) 82. Luquinhas 7. Lopes V. 15. Tapsoba A.
Substitutes
37. Bokhno M. 27. Borowski B. 26. Burek J. (G) 2. Custovic K. 17. Djalo M. 16. Hiszpanski F. 99. Juric D. 13. Lecoeuche Q. 6. Pomorski K. 66. Salvador I. 18. Sarapata D. 84. Tavares T.	10. Alves R. 6. Baro R. 2. Camara I. 16. Cichocki M. 75. Jerke M. (G) 20. Joao Pedro 28. Kaput M. 14. Kingue S. 44. Koptas W. (G) 25. Maurides 19. Soumah S. 17. Zabicki A.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Baltazar B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Donis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Savvidis K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
57', Balde E. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
58', Lopes V. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
63', Rogelj Z. 🟨,
70', Mijuskovic N. 🟨,
72', Tapsoba A. ↓, Maurides ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Maurides ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
73', Gallapeni D. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
74', Pacheco D. ↓, Juric D. ↑,
80', Donis C. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
81', Wolski R. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
82', Rogelj Z. ↓, Custovic K. ↑,
83', Niarchos G. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
90+1', Majchrowicz F. 🟨,
90+3', Salvador I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

Wisła Płock is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Radomiak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Wisła Płock: Karamarko M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Radomiak: Wilson-Esbrand J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Savvidis K. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Radomiak Radom: 0.83% Wisla Plock: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11
15	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.04.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Cracovia - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWLWW
- Radomiak Radom
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ET ✺
06.04.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
27.10.25	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	1:1
02.04.23	Wisła Płock - Radomiak Radom	1:1
10.09.22	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	2:0
07.02.22	Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock	1:1
09.08.21	Wisła Płock - Radomiak Radom	1:0

Upcoming Matches