Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Wofoo Tai Po		Kowloon City

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.60	5.00
	1.41	4.4	5.3
	1.49	4.75	5.41
	1.46	4.65	5.3	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.35
	1.5	4.95	4.95	Watch
	1.42	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.65 ↑ (4.25)	5.24 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wofoo Tai Po
62.9%

Draw
19.7%

Kowloon City
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

20%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wofoo Tai Po has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Kowloon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wofoo Tai Po than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Wofoo Tai Po - Kowloon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Tse Ka-Wing (G) 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. 10. Fernando 33. Gabriel Cividini (C) 26. Lee Ka-Ho 4. Leo Rigo 23. Lijing Cai 97. Marquinhos 8. Nando Welter 44. Weverton Rangel 20. Wong Hin-Sum	22. Kwong T. (G) 3. Alonzo M. 5. Eli D. (C) 95. Fung T. W. 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 47. Koudakpo A. 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 12. Law C. 24. Lucena S. 7. Mikael 10. Rikelmi
Substitutes
7. Chang H. M. 6. Chan H. P. 19. Kwok Y. 1. Lo S. (G) 9. Paulinho 28. Wong Sum-Chit Sherman	11. Chen Ngo-Hin 1. Cheung Kwai-Wa (G) 8. Chiu W. 23. Ho L. 14. Kim Min-sub 66. Leung H. A. (G) 37. Lin L. T. 18. Slattery M. 21. Tsang Kam-To 31. Wong H. 91. Wong L. 2. Yu Pui-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', Koudakpo A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Wong Hin-Sum ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Fung T. W. ⚽,
61', Alonzo M. ↓, Kim Min-sub ↑,
65', Lijing Cai ↓, Paulinho ↑,
72', Fung T. W. ↓, Chen Ngo-Hin ↑,
74', Wong Hin-Sum ↓, Chang H. M. ↑,
80', Law C. 🟨,
81', Kim Min-sub 🟨,
84', Kwok Chun-Nok ↓, Tsang Kam-To ↑,
84', Rikelmi ↓, Wong L. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, Tai Po enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Tai Po has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:6 (averaging 3.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tai Po against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:3 goals (averaging 4:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tai Po	5	2	1	2	9:8	1	7
6	Kowloon City	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wofoo Tai Po
Hong Kong League Cup
04.10.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Adelaide United - Wofoo Tai Po	3:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
12.09.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Kowloon City FC
Hong Kong League Cup
04.10.26	Kowloon City - Eastern District	1:2 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
19.09.26	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	4:1 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
13.09.26	Sha Tin - Kowloon City	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Eastern AA - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Southern District - Kowloon City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
10.01.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Kowloon City	3:2
21.09.25	Kowloon City - Wofoo Tai Po	0:2
06.04.25	Kowloon City - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3
09.03.25	Kowloon City - Wofoo Tai Po	2:5
01.09.24	Wofoo Tai Po - Kowloon City	5:1

Wofoo Tai Po - Kowloon City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide