The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 47.4%
Draw 26.8%
Burton Albion 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.3%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
26.7%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
23.1%
7.7%
Cambridge United - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Burton will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 4. Digby P. 14. Smith K. 7. Brophy J. 10. Kachunga E. 34. Njoku B. 9. N'Lundulu D.
1. Crocombe M. (G) 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. 21. Bannon A. 17. Armer J. 33. Chauke K. 4. Watt E. (C) 11. Bodin B. 32. Bennett M. 7. Kalinauskas T. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
24. Cousins J. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 26. Gibbons J. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 11. Kaikai S. 1. Stevens J. (G) 6. Watts K.
14. Akoto N. 16. Cooper-Love J. 13. Isted H. (G) 20. Sraha J. 8. Webster C. 34. Whitfield B.
Coaches
Monk G.
Robinson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Bennett M. 🟨,
23', Watt E. 🟨,
34', Bodin B. 🟨,
39', Bennett L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Bennett M. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
57', Bodin B. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
61', Njoku B. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
61', Brophy J. ↓, Emmanuel M. L. ↑,
71', Kalinauskas T. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
80', Digby P. ↓, Cousins J. ↑,
81', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
82', Bannon A. ↓, Webster C. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Cousins J. ⚽,
90+3', Andrew D. 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1.
Recent matches Cambridge is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cambridge will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 2.1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).