The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 58.6%
Draw 23.9%
Cambridge United 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
27.8%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
28.2%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambridge United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambridge United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Exeter City - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 15. Yfeko J. 14. Niskanen I. 8. Francis E. 6. Woods R. 2. McMillan J. 10. Aitchison J. 27. Magennis J. 11. Alli M.
27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 4. Digby P. 14. Smith K. 26. Gibbons J. 10. Kachunga E. 18. Loft R. 9. N'Lundulu D.
Substitutes
31. Bird J. 29. Carayol M. 19. Cox S. 20. Doyle K. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 3. Purrington B. 21. Richards A.
7. Brophy J. 24. Cousins J. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 11. Kaikai S. 34. Njoku B. 29. O'Riordan C. 1. Stevens J. (G)
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Monk G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Loft R. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Woods R. ⚽,
37', Magennis J. ↓, Richards A. ↑,
45+2', Yfeko J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Loft R. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
68', Kachunga E. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
72', Richards A. ↓, Cox S. ↑,
73', Aitchison J. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
74', Woods R. 🟨,
76', Smith K. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
76', Gibbons J. ↓, Emmanuel M. L. ↑,
79', Andrew D. 🟨,
82', Francis E. ↓, Carayol M. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
Exeter is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cambridge has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Exeter is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Exeter won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 26:19 (average 1.3:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:4 (average 1.3:0.4).
Watch
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Niskanen I. 
McMillan J. 
Magennis J. 
Reyes V. (G) 
Okedina J. 
Kachunga E. 
Carayol M. 
Cousins J. 
Kaikai S. 
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