Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Woking		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.45	4.37	5.85
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.43	4.45	6.45	Watch
	1.41	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.71)	4.28 ↑ (3.6)	6.14 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Woking
63.5%

Draw
21.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town
15%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

25.6%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Woking's performance.

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hemel Hempstead Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Woking that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Woking will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Woking is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemel Hempstead is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Woking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Woking is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Woking won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Woking won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Woking - Southend United	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Woking - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Fylde - Woking	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Wealdstone - Woking	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Gorleston - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
English National League South
23.09.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:0
English National League South
19.02.19	Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
18.08.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Woking
English National League
31.10.26	Tamworth - Woking	✺
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
31.10.26	Billericay Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	✺

Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town